%0 Conference Paper %1 pmlr-v103-decadt19a %A Decadt, Arne %A de Cooman, Gert %A De Bock, Jasper %B Proceedings of the Eleventh International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities: Theories and Applications %C Thagaste, Ghent, Belgium %D 2019 %E De Bock, Jasper %E de Campos, Cassio P. %E de Cooman, Gert %E Quaeghebeur, Erik %E Wheeler, Gregory %I PMLR %K mcmc sampling stats %P 135--144 %T Monte Carlo Estimation for Imprecise Probabilities: Basic Properties %U http://proceedings.mlr.press/v103/decadt19a.html %V 103 %X We describe Monte Carlo methods for estimating lower envelopes of expectations of real random variables. We prove that the estimation bias is negative and that its absolute value shrinks with increasing sample size. We discuss fairly practical techniques for proving strong consistency of the estimators and use these to prove the consistency of an example in the literature. We also provide an example where there is no consistency.

@inproceedings{pmlr-v103-decadt19a, abstract = {We describe Monte Carlo methods for estimating lower envelopes of expectations of real random variables. We prove that the estimation bias is negative and that its absolute value shrinks with increasing sample size. We discuss fairly practical techniques for proving strong consistency of the estimators and use these to prove the consistency of an example in the literature. We also provide an example where there is no consistency.}, added-at = {2020-01-21T12:14:52.000+0100}, address = {Thagaste, Ghent, Belgium}, author = {Decadt, Arne and {de Cooman}, Gert and De Bock, Jasper}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2b8432c7f17692be2ca1f7ca7f0e98242/kirk86}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the Eleventh International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities: Theories and Applications}, description = {Monte Carlo Estimation for Imprecise Probabilities: Basic Properties}, editor = {De Bock, Jasper and {de Campos}, Cassio P. and {de Cooman}, Gert and Quaeghebeur, Erik and Wheeler, Gregory}, interhash = {8bc693a276c68dc26ebb5fd60721bf70}, intrahash = {b8432c7f17692be2ca1f7ca7f0e98242}, keywords = {mcmc sampling stats}, month = {03--06 Jul}, pages = {135--144}, pdf = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v103/decadt19a/decadt19a.pdf}, publisher = {PMLR}, series = {Proceedings of Machine Learning Research}, timestamp = {2020-01-21T12:14:52.000+0100}, title = {Monte Carlo Estimation for Imprecise Probabilities: Basic Properties}, url = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v103/decadt19a.html}, volume = 103, year = 2019 }