Artikel,

A cellular automation model of wildfire propagation and extinction

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Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 60 (11): 1355--1367 (1994)

Zusammenfassung

We propose a new model to predict the spatial and temporal behavior of wildfires. Fire spread and intensity were simu- lated using a cellular automaton model. Monte Carlo tech- niques were used to provide fire risk probabilities for areas where fuel loadings and topography are known. The model assumes predetermined or measurable environmental varia- bles such as wind direction and magnitude, relative humid- ity, fuel moisture content, and air temperature. Implementation of the model allows the linking of fire moni- toring using remotely sensed data, potentially in real time, to rapid simulations of predicted fire behavior. Calibration of the model is based on thermal infrared remotely sensed im- agery of a test burn during 1986 in the San Dimas experi- mental forest. The model and its various implementations show distinct promise for real-time fire management and fire risk planning.

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