Zusammenfassung
This paper is a continuation of our investigation of
the paradox of technical analysis in the stock market
(Fyfe, Marney and Tarbert 1999), Marney et. al (2000).
The Efficient Markets Hypothesis (hereafter the EMH)
holds that there should be no discernible pattern in
share price data or the prices of other frequently
traded financial instruments, as financial markets are
efficient. Prices therefore should follow an
information-free random-walk. Nevertheless, technical
analysis is a common and presumably profitable practice
among investment professionals. Applications of Genetic
Programming and Genetic Algorithms to the extraction of
Technical Trading Patterns from financial data. The
subset of technical trading research which is concerned
with the application of GAs, GPs and neural networks is
very new and underdeveloped and therefore of
considerable potential. The most notable empirical work
which has been done in this area is that of Neely,
Dittmar and Weller (1996, 1997), Neely and Weller
(2001) and Neely (2001). We have also done some work in
this area ourselves (Fyfe et al. 1999, Marney et al.
2000). The theoretical underpinning for this kind of
approach to finding technical trading patterns is
provided by the work of Arthur et al. (1997).
Nutzer