%0 Journal Article %1 Wheatley2016Reassessing %A Wheatley, Spencer %A Sovacool, Benjamin K. %A Sornette, Didier %D 2016 %J Energy Research & Social Science %K thermalelectricpower risk %R 10.1016/j.erss.2015.12.026 %T Reassessing the safety of nuclear power %U http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2015.12.026 %X We summarize the results of a recent statistical analysis of 216 nuclear energy accidents and incidents (events). The dataset is twice as large as the previous best available. We employ cost in US dollars as a severity measure to facilitate the comparison of different types and sizes of events, a method more complete and consistent that the industry-standard approach. Despite significant reforms following past disasters, we estimate that, with 388 reactors in operation, there is a 50\% chance that a Fukushima event (or more costly) occurs every 60–150 years. We also find that the average cost of events per year is around the cost of the construction of a new plant. This dire outlook necessitates post-Fukushima reforms that will truly minimize extreme nuclear power risks. Nuclear power accidents are decreasing in frequency, but increasing in severity.

@article{Wheatley2016Reassessing, abstract = {We summarize the results of a recent statistical analysis of 216 nuclear energy accidents and incidents (events). The dataset is twice as large as the previous best available. We employ cost in US dollars as a severity measure to facilitate the comparison of different types and sizes of events, a method more complete and consistent that the industry-standard approach. Despite significant reforms following past disasters, we estimate that, with 388 reactors in operation, there is a 50\% chance that a Fukushima event (or more costly) occurs every 60–150 years. We also find that the average cost of events per year is around the cost of the construction of a new plant. This dire outlook necessitates post-Fukushima reforms that will truly minimize extreme nuclear power risks. Nuclear power accidents are decreasing in frequency, but increasing in severity.}, added-at = {2018-06-18T21:23:34.000+0200}, author = {Wheatley, Spencer and Sovacool, Benjamin K. and Sornette, Didier}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/22a620ef7545e22da05751d78d094b7d1/pbett}, citeulike-article-id = {13921867}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2015.12.026}, comment = {(private-note)Open access, and open data.}, doi = {10.1016/j.erss.2015.12.026}, interhash = {8b94b7a1c2cc4c85e1e72295bc72f200}, intrahash = {2a620ef7545e22da05751d78d094b7d1}, issn = {22146296}, journal = {Energy Research \& Social Science}, keywords = {thermalelectricpower risk}, month = jan, posted-at = {2016-01-29 15:00:54}, priority = {2}, timestamp = {2018-06-22T18:36:02.000+0200}, title = {Reassessing the safety of nuclear power}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2015.12.026}, year = 2016 }