%0 Journal Article %1 Carreras2004Evidence %A Carreras, B. A. %A Newman, D. E. %A Dobson, I. %A Poole, A. B. %D 2004 %I IEEE %J Circuits and Systems I: Regular Papers, IEEE Transactions on %K power\_grids, resilience, self\_organized\_criticality %N 9 %P 1733--1740 %R 10.1109/tcsi.2004.834513 %T Evidence for self-organized criticality in a time series of electric power system blackouts %U http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tcsi.2004.834513 %V 51 %X We analyze a 15-year time series of North American electric power transmission system blackouts for evidence of self-organized criticality (SOC). The probability distribution functions of various measures of blackout size have a power tail and rescaled range analysis of the time series shows moderate long-time correlations. Moreover, the same analysis applied to a time series from a sandpile model known to be self-organized critical gives results of the same form. Thus, the blackout data seem consistent with SOC. A qualitative explanation of the complex dynamics observed in electric power system blackouts is suggested.

@article{Carreras2004Evidence, abstract = {{We analyze a 15-year time series of North American electric power transmission system blackouts for evidence of self-organized criticality (SOC). The probability distribution functions of various measures of blackout size have a power tail and rescaled range analysis of the time series shows moderate long-time correlations. Moreover, the same analysis applied to a time series from a sandpile model known to be self-organized critical gives results of the same form. Thus, the blackout data seem consistent with SOC. A qualitative explanation of the complex dynamics observed in electric power system blackouts is suggested.}}, added-at = {2019-06-10T14:53:09.000+0200}, author = {Carreras, B. A. and Newman, D. E. and Dobson, I. and Poole, A. B.}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/20a2f6369b5a7291a1da9eb30932ccc8b/nonancourt}, citeulike-article-id = {12073204}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tcsi.2004.834513}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs\_all.jsp?arnumber=1333223}, doi = {10.1109/tcsi.2004.834513}, institution = {Oak Ridge Nat. Lab., TN, USA}, interhash = {e0f47da0ec3f25eb9ce0412f54ee9e56}, intrahash = {0a2f6369b5a7291a1da9eb30932ccc8b}, issn = {1549-8328}, journal = {Circuits and Systems I: Regular Papers, IEEE Transactions on}, keywords = {power\_grids, resilience, self\_organized\_criticality}, number = 9, pages = {1733--1740}, posted-at = {2013-02-25 11:46:36}, priority = {2}, publisher = {IEEE}, timestamp = {2019-06-10T14:53:09.000+0200}, title = {{Evidence for self-organized criticality in a time series of electric power system blackouts}}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tcsi.2004.834513}, volume = 51, year = 2004 }