Thinking about Nuclear Deterrence Theory: Why Evolutionary Psychology Undermines Its Rational Actor Assumptions
B. Thayer. Comparative Strategy, 26 (4):
311--323(July 2007)
Abstract
For too long, nuclear deterrence theorists have remained apart from the revolution in the life sciences, and particularly evolutionary psychology, which has fundamentally changed the scientific understanding of the human mind. As a result of advances in evolutionary psychology, we now know that how the brain interprets actions and makes decisions is complicated, imperfect, greatly dependent upon emotions, and varied among humans. Consequently, it is fundamentally na\"ıve and dangerous to assume a similar outcome in deterrent situations when there is variation in cognition among leaders. The rational deterrence model's assumption of a universal rationality is irredeemably flawed and students of nuclear deterrence must replace it with a gradated understanding of rationality.
%0 Journal Article
%1 Thayer:2007
%A Thayer, Bradley A
%D 2007
%J Comparative Strategy
%K deterrence evolution nuclear security
%N 4
%P 311--323
%T Thinking about Nuclear Deterrence Theory: Why Evolutionary Psychology Undermines Its Rational Actor Assumptions
%V 26
%X For too long, nuclear deterrence theorists have remained apart from the revolution in the life sciences, and particularly evolutionary psychology, which has fundamentally changed the scientific understanding of the human mind. As a result of advances in evolutionary psychology, we now know that how the brain interprets actions and makes decisions is complicated, imperfect, greatly dependent upon emotions, and varied among humans. Consequently, it is fundamentally na\"ıve and dangerous to assume a similar outcome in deterrent situations when there is variation in cognition among leaders. The rational deterrence model's assumption of a universal rationality is irredeemably flawed and students of nuclear deterrence must replace it with a gradated understanding of rationality.
@article{Thayer:2007,
abstract = {For too long, nuclear deterrence theorists have remained apart from the revolution in the life sciences, and particularly evolutionary psychology, which has fundamentally changed the scientific understanding of the human mind. As a result of advances in evolutionary psychology, we now know that how the brain interprets actions and makes decisions is complicated, imperfect, greatly dependent upon emotions, and varied among humans. Consequently, it is fundamentally na{\"\i}ve and dangerous to assume a similar outcome in deterrent situations when there is variation in cognition among leaders. The rational deterrence model's assumption of a universal rationality is irredeemably flawed and students of nuclear deterrence must replace it with a gradated understanding of rationality.},
added-at = {2010-03-02T17:25:53.000+0100},
affiliation = {Department of Defense and Strategic Studies, Missouri State University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA},
author = {Thayer, Bradley A},
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biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/217d3d693acb34b6398e7ca765ffc29ff/jrennstich},
date-added = {2008-09-05 14:51:09 -0400},
date-modified = {2010-02-28 22:20:12 -0500},
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journal = {Comparative Strategy},
keywords = {deterrence evolution nuclear security},
month = Jul,
number = 4,
pages = {311--323},
rating = {0},
timestamp = {2010-03-02T17:27:12.000+0100},
title = {Thinking about Nuclear Deterrence Theory: Why Evolutionary Psychology Undermines Its Rational Actor Assumptions},
volume = 26,
year = 2007
}