%0 Conference Paper %1 ga96aJaske %A Jäske, Harri %B Proceedings of the Second Nordic Workshop on Genetic Algorithms and their Applications (2NWGA) %C Vaasa (Finland) %D 1996 %E Alander, Jarmo T. %I University of Vaasa %K , algorithms, genetic prediction programming, series sunspots time %P 79--88 %T One-step-ahead prediction of sunspots with genetic programming %U http://www.uwasa.fi/cs/publications/2NWGA/node70.html#SECTION04700000000000000000 %X Timeinvariant nonlinear one-step-ahead prediction models were developed by genetic programming. As a test case benchmark sunspot series was used. Functional form and numerical parameters of the models were optimized. The generalisation ability, i.e. final suitability, of the predictors was assessed through crossvalidation. The results were compared to those of threshold autoregression and neural network -based predictors of the sunspot benchmarks found in literature. Standard GP-approach is shown not to be sufficient to solve this prediction problem as well as the methods in comparison do. %Z *on,*FIN,genetic programming,astronomy /sunspots,time series sunspots

@inproceedings{ga96aJaske, abstract = {Timeinvariant nonlinear one-step-ahead prediction models were developed by genetic programming. As a test case benchmark sunspot series was used. Functional form and numerical parameters of the models were optimized. The generalisation ability, i.e. final suitability, of the predictors was assessed through crossvalidation. The results were compared to those of threshold autoregression and neural network -based predictors of the sunspot benchmarks found in literature. Standard GP-approach is shown not to be sufficient to solve this prediction problem as well as the methods in comparison do.}, added-at = {2008-06-19T17:35:00.000+0200}, address = {Vaasa (Finland)}, annote = {*on,*FIN,genetic programming,astronomy /sunspots,time series sunspots}, author = {J{\"a}ske, Harri}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/246fb2bd0aacc7380b121d22d8d104912/brazovayeye}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the Second Nordic Workshop on Genetic Algorithms and their Applications (2NWGA)}, editor = {Alander, Jarmo T.}, interhash = {045ac97058c30bf87bca538452432344}, intrahash = {46fb2bd0aacc7380b121d22d8d104912}, keywords = {, algorithms, genetic prediction programming, series sunspots time}, month = {19.-23.~August}, notes = {lil-gp, non standard GP parameters? {"}evolved models might not be numerically stable{"} page 86}, organisation = {Finnish Artificial Intelligence Society}, pages = {79--88}, publisher = {University of Vaasa}, series = {Proceedings of the University of Vaasa, Nro. 13}, timestamp = {2008-06-19T17:42:23.000+0200}, title = {One-step-ahead prediction of sunspots with genetic programming}, url = {http://www.uwasa.fi/cs/publications/2NWGA/node70.html#SECTION04700000000000000000}, year = 1996 }