We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof, we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index reveals large time-varying compensation for fears of disasters. Our empirical investigations involve new extreme value theory approximations and high-frequency intraday data for estimating the expected jump tails under the statistical probability measure, and short maturity out-of-the-money options and new model-free implied variation measures for estimating the corresponding risk-neutral expectations.
Description
Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia - BOLLERSLEV - 2011 - The Journal of Finance - Wiley Online Library
%0 Journal Article
%1 Bollerslev:JF:2011
%A Bollerslev, Tim
%A Todorov, Viktor
%D 2011
%I Blackwell Publishing Inc
%J The Journal of Finance
%K disaster equity-premium variance-risk-premium
%N 6
%P 2165-2211
%R 10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01695.x
%T Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia
%U http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01695.x
%V 66
%X We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof, we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index reveals large time-varying compensation for fears of disasters. Our empirical investigations involve new extreme value theory approximations and high-frequency intraday data for estimating the expected jump tails under the statistical probability measure, and short maturity out-of-the-money options and new model-free implied variation measures for estimating the corresponding risk-neutral expectations.
@article{Bollerslev:JF:2011,
abstract = {We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof, we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index reveals large time-varying compensation for fears of disasters. Our empirical investigations involve new extreme value theory approximations and high-frequency intraday data for estimating the expected jump tails under the statistical probability measure, and short maturity out-of-the-money options and new model-free implied variation measures for estimating the corresponding risk-neutral expectations.},
added-at = {2014-11-03T23:20:04.000+0100},
author = {Bollerslev, Tim and Todorov, Viktor},
biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2a52ff4be1be34052fc20ac12a1dac1d5/fcqms},
description = {Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia - BOLLERSLEV - 2011 - The Journal of Finance - Wiley Online Library},
doi = {10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01695.x},
interhash = {b96fddc0cd86474ef838f0bd5696c96f},
intrahash = {a52ff4be1be34052fc20ac12a1dac1d5},
issn = {1540-6261},
journal = {The Journal of Finance},
keywords = {disaster equity-premium variance-risk-premium},
number = 6,
pages = {2165-2211},
publisher = {Blackwell Publishing Inc},
timestamp = {2014-11-03T23:20:04.000+0100},
title = {Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01695.x},
volume = 66,
year = 2011
}