Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.
%0 Journal Article
%1 yalew2020impacts
%A Yalew, Seleshi G.
%A van Vliet, Michelle T. H.
%A Gernaat, David E. H. J.
%A Ludwig, Fulco
%A Miara, Ariel
%A Park, Chan
%A Byers, Edward
%A De Cian, Enrica
%A Piontek, Franziska
%A Iyer, Gokul
%A Mouratiadou, Ioanna
%A Glynn, James
%A Hejazi, Mohamad
%A Dessens, Olivier
%A Rochedo, Pedro
%A Pietzcker, Robert
%A Schaeffer, Roberto
%A Fujimori, Shinichiro
%A Dasgupta, Shouro
%A Mima, Silvana
%A da Silva, Silvia R. Santos
%A Chaturvedi, Vaibhav
%A Vautard, Robert
%A van Vuuren, Detlef P.
%D 2020
%J Nature Energy
%K bioenergy climatechange demand energy heating hydroelectricity review solar thermalelectricpower wind
%R 10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z
%T Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios
%U https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z
%X Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.
@article{yalew2020impacts,
abstract = {Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.},
added-at = {2020-08-05T10:21:59.000+0200},
author = {Yalew, Seleshi G. and van Vliet, Michelle T. H. and Gernaat, David E. H. J. and Ludwig, Fulco and Miara, Ariel and Park, Chan and Byers, Edward and De Cian, Enrica and Piontek, Franziska and Iyer, Gokul and Mouratiadou, Ioanna and Glynn, James and Hejazi, Mohamad and Dessens, Olivier and Rochedo, Pedro and Pietzcker, Robert and Schaeffer, Roberto and Fujimori, Shinichiro and Dasgupta, Shouro and Mima, Silvana and da Silva, Silvia R. Santos and Chaturvedi, Vaibhav and Vautard, Robert and van Vuuren, Detlef P.},
biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2e03c4f705c381aa925018da3161ad720/pbett},
doi = {10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z},
interhash = {fb69375d5af1d276ac3cf6b6665492fa},
intrahash = {e03c4f705c381aa925018da3161ad720},
issn = {20587546},
journal = {Nature Energy},
keywords = {bioenergy climatechange demand energy heating hydroelectricity review solar thermalelectricpower wind},
refid = {Yalew2020},
timestamp = {2020-08-05T10:21:59.000+0200},
title = {Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z},
year = 2020
}