Article,

Macroeconomic Priorities and Crash States

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Economics Letters, 94 (1): 64-70 (2007)
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2006.08.003

Abstract

This paper reproduces Lucas's analysis of the costs of business cycles in an economy with a low probability, crash state in consumption growth. It is shown that the presence of a crash state dramatically increases the costs of consumption volatility.

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