@simon.brown

The drivers of variability in UK extreme rainfall

. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (S1): e119-e130 (2018)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5356

Abstract

ABSTRACT The effect of large-scale modes of climate variability on extreme UK daily rainfall, together with potential trends is investigated with non-stationary extreme value analysis. Extreme rainfall is identified from 25 km gridded observations spanning 1958–2012 and to which generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions are fitted. The GEV location and scale parameters are assessed for their dependence on indices of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), together with any evidence of trend. The influence of indices a…(more)

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