Аннотация
In recent years, a growing number of empirical studies have challenged societal diagnoses of
increasingly flexible work life patterns. The paper presents the first long-term cohort trend
analysis of early career occupational mobility for West Germany that covers the entire period
from the mid-1940s up to 2005. Drawing on the retrospective surveys from the German Life
History Study, cohorts 1930 to 1971, we investigate whether male and female employees have
in general become more occupationally mobile across cohorts, and to what extent educational
expansion, changes in skill demands, labor market restructuring and women’s increased labor
force attachment may account for the mobility patterns observed. We tackle occupational
mobility from two theoretical perspectives, first, as a form of social mobility that is associated
with matching persons to positions at labor market entry and as a reaction to shifts on the
demand side of labor; second, from the perspective of dispositions to acquire and to maintain
occupational identities. We investigate whether individual experiences of ‘waiting loops’ after
apprenticeship and employment interruptions weaken the binding power of occupational
pathways, and how this has changed across cohorts, with lessening commitments of firms to
their apprentices, increasing unemployment risk and the rise in multiple occupational training.
We find that the transition from occupational training to work seems to be pretty much intact.
The majority enters the labor market by taking up the occupation they were trained for, and
this share has increased rather than declined across cohorts, and despite the spread of gaps.
For those who have entered the labor market, the binding power of occupation seems to be
bound up with employment continuity. While direct occupational mobility has actually
declined across cohorts, occupational mobility that follows any kind of employment
interruption has increased.
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