Abstract
Inspired by the recent observation that local measurements of the Hubble
constant $H_0$ and the Planck CMB value based on $Łambda$CDM show a
discrepancy at $4.4 \, \sigma$ Riess:2019cxk, we study $Łambda$CDM at
low redshift. Concretely, we expand $Łambda$CDM perturbatively at small $z$
and perform a two-parameter fit of the distance modulus to Pantheon data for a
running cut-off $z_max 0.3$. Moving beyond the Hubble constant
$H_0$, we shift focus to matter density $Ømega_m$, noting foremost that its
best-fit value is sensitive to the cut-off. For $z_max > 0.1$, the
uncertainties in $Ømega_m$ decrease and the difference with the Planck value
$Ømega_m = 0.315 0.007$ becomes noticeable. In particular, in the range
$0.1 z_max < 0.16$, the best-fit value is negative and the
discrepancy with the Planck value approaches $4 \, \sigma$. Restricting to
$z_max$ where the best-fit value is positive and physical, the
discrepancy is reduced to $3.1 \, \sigma$. For high-energy theorists, the
analysis appears to support the de Sitter Swampland conjecture.
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