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Program E-SURGE: a software application for fitting multievent models

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Modeling Demographic Processes in Marked Populations, volume 3 of Environmental and Ecological Statistics, Springer Science & Business Media, NY, xxiv+1131.(2009)

Abstract

Multievent models (Pradel 2005 , 2008 ) handle state uncertainty, and they therefore cover a range of situations like hidden capture heterogeneity and sex determination from behaviour which cannot be treated in the multistate paradigm. We introduce a new software application called e-surge , built upon the concepts developed in program m-surge (Choquet et al. 2004 ) to encompass this new class of capture–recapture models. It also improves on m-surge by allowing the decomposition of transitions into several steps. We present the new concepts involved, notably the event and the multistep process, and how they are implemented in e-surge . We then illustrate the use of e-surge with three examples. One example deals with breeding propensity where the breeding state cannot always be ascertained; a further deals with emigration which is considered as a two-step process (Grosbois and Tavecchia 2003 ) and the last one with a version of a memory model where survival can be handled directly.

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