%0 Book Section %1 Davis2016Barriers %A Davis, Melanie %A Lowe, Rachel %A Steffen, Sophie %A Doblas-Reyes, Francisco %A Rodó, Xavier %B Communicating Climate-Change and Natural Hazard Risk and Cultivating Resilience %D 2016 %E Drake, Jeanette L. %E Kontar, Yekaterina Y. %E Eichelberger, John C. %E Rupp, T. Scott %E Taylor, Karen M. %I Springer International Publishing %K verification climateservices communication statistics skill seasonal %P 95--113 %R 10.1007/978-3-319-20161-0_7 %T Barriers to Using Climate Information: Challenges in Communicating Probabilistic Forecasts to Decision-Makers %U http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-20161-0_7 %V 45 %X Despite the strong dependence of certain sectors (e.g. energy, health, agriculture, tourism and insurance) on weather and climate variability, and several initiatives towards demonstrating the added benefits of integrating probabilistic climate forecasts into decision-making processes, such information is still underutilised. Improved communication is fundamental to stimulate the use of climate products by end users. This chapter evaluates current approaches to the visual communication of probabilistic seasonal climate forecast information. The overall aim of this study is to establish a visual communication protocol for such forecasts, which does not currently exist. Global Producing Centres (GPCs) show their own probabilistic forecasts with limited consistency in communication between different centres, which complicates how end users understand and interpret the products. A communication protocol that encompasses both the visualisation and description of climate forecasts can help to introduce a standard format and message to end users across different climate-sensitive sectors. It is hoped that this work will facilitate the improvement of decision-making processes that rely on climate forecast information and enable their wide-range dissemination via new climate services. %& 7

@inbook{Davis2016Barriers, abstract = {Despite the strong dependence of certain sectors (e.g. energy, health, agriculture, tourism and insurance) on weather and climate variability, and several initiatives towards demonstrating the added benefits of integrating probabilistic climate forecasts into decision-making processes, such information is still underutilised. Improved communication is fundamental to stimulate the use of climate products by end users. This chapter evaluates current approaches to the visual communication of probabilistic seasonal climate forecast information. The overall aim of this study is to establish a visual communication protocol for such forecasts, which does not currently exist. Global Producing Centres (GPCs) show their own probabilistic forecasts with limited consistency in communication between different centres, which complicates how end users understand and interpret the products. A communication protocol that encompasses both the visualisation and description of climate forecasts can help to introduce a standard format and message to end users across different climate-sensitive sectors. It is hoped that this work will facilitate the improvement of decision-making processes that rely on climate forecast information and enable their wide-range dissemination via new climate services.}, added-at = {2018-06-18T21:23:34.000+0200}, author = {Davis, Melanie and Lowe, Rachel and Steffen, Sophie and Doblas-Reyes, Francisco and Rod\'{o}, Xavier}, biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/2cb741b94a40f3fcb6fd26116dc065741/pbett}, booktitle = {Communicating Climate-Change and Natural Hazard Risk and Cultivating Resilience}, chapter = 7, citeulike-article-id = {13884647}, citeulike-attachment-1 = {Davis_etal_2016_bookchapter7.pdf; /pdf/user/pbett/article/13884647/1046641/Davis_etal_2016_bookchapter7.pdf; bd63e18f457a015c36907600ecb837f240e67031}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-20161-0_7}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-20161-0_7}, comment = {(private-note)Actually downloaded whole book too. ---=note-separator=--- (private-note)Weak. Tested the use of the GPC information available on NMS' web sites, and (surprise!) it is not very consistent or useful for real users. In particular, they ignore the warning on the MO site "this does not constitute a forecast for a particular location"! Wants more work do be done on working with users to tailored to their needs, ignored the fact that we might do that already - but not on our GPC pages. A better reference for similar things would be Taylor et al. (2016), http://www.citeulike.org/user/pbett/article/13853744 (Also EUPORIAS)}, doi = {10.1007/978-3-319-20161-0_7}, editor = {Drake, Jeanette L. and Kontar, Yekaterina Y. and Eichelberger, John C. and Rupp, T. Scott and Taylor, Karen M.}, file = {Davis_etal_2016_bookchapter7.pdf}, interhash = {cfe06fd3584807dff779e79269d72615}, intrahash = {cb741b94a40f3fcb6fd26116dc065741}, keywords = {verification climateservices communication statistics skill seasonal}, pages = {95--113}, posted-at = {2015-12-16 11:07:03}, priority = {2}, publisher = {Springer International Publishing}, series = {Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research}, timestamp = {2018-06-22T18:36:02.000+0200}, title = {Barriers to Using Climate Information: Challenges in Communicating Probabilistic Forecasts to Decision-Makers}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-20161-0_7}, volume = 45, year = 2016 }