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arm: Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models, и . (2020)R package version 1.11-2.The Mythical Swing Voter., , , и . CoRR, (2014)Estimating the Probability of Events That Have Never Occurred: When is Your Vote Decisive?, , и . Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93 (441): 1--9 (1998)Simulating normalizing constants: From importance sampling to bridge sampling to path sampling, и . Statistical science, (1998)Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics, и . British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 66 (1): 8--38 (2013)Understanding predictive information criteria for Bayesian models, , и . Statistics and Computing, 24 (6): 997--1016 (2014)Expectation propagation as a way of life, , , , , и . (2014)cite arxiv:1412.4869v1.pdfComment: 19 pages (+ appendix), 5 figures.Pareto Smoothed Importance Sampling, , и . (21.10.2017)The Experiment is just as Important as the Likelihood in Understanding the Prior: a Cautionary Note on Robust Cognitive Modeling, , и . Computational Brain & Behavior, 2 (3): 210--217 (01.12.2019)Erratum to: Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC., , и . Stat. Comput., 27 (5): 1433 (2017)