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Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores

. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 135 (643): 1512--1519 (Jul 1, 2009)
DOI: 10.1002/qj.456

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Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being Proper, and . Wea. Forecasting, 22 (2): 382--388 (Apr 1, 2007)Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 135 (643): 1512--1519 (Jul 1, 2009)From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions, and . Tellus A, 60 (4): 663--678 (Aug 1, 2008)Increasing the Reliability of Reliability Diagrams, and . Wea. Forecasting, 22 (3): 651--661 (Jun 1, 2007)Some Remarks on the Reliability of Categorical Probability Forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 136 (11): 4488--4502 (November 2008)