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What are the most important statistical ideas of the past 50 years?

, and . Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116 (536): 2087--2097 (2021)
DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2021.1938081

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Fitting multilevel models when predictors and group effects correlate., and . (April 2006)Unpublished manuscript.Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics, and . British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 66 (1): 8--38 (2013)Understanding predictive information criteria for Bayesian models, , and . Statistics and Computing, 24 (6): 997--1016 (2014)Simulating normalizing constants: From importance sampling to bridge sampling to path sampling, and . Statistical science, (1998)Estimating the Probability of Events That Have Never Occurred: When is Your Vote Decisive?, , and . Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93 (441): 1--9 (1998)Expectation propagation as a way of life, , , , , and . (2014)cite arxiv:1412.4869v1.pdfComment: 19 pages (+ appendix), 5 figures.The Mythical Swing Voter., , , and . CoRR, (2014)Pareto Smoothed Importance Sampling, , and . (Oct 21, 2017)FRM: An Intelligent Assistant for Financial Resource Management., , , , , , and . AAAI, page 31-36. AAAI Press / The MIT Press, (1988)The Experiment is just as Important as the Likelihood in Understanding the Prior: a Cautionary Note on Robust Cognitive Modeling, , and . Computational Brain & Behavior, 2 (3): 210--217 (Dec 1, 2019)